As we close in on the start of the Premier League season, we thought we’d delve into some statistical analysis before the first games are played.

The boffins at FiveThirtyEight have a sophisticated model for determining who wins Premier League matches and we have gone through their predictions for the opening round of fixtures.

Most of the predicted results won’t surprise fans but, even so, it does give an intriguing insight ahead of the new campaign.

Press the next page to find out which Premier League teams are the likeliest to win their first game this weekend.